Nationwide opinion polling for the 1976 United States presidential election

This article provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the 1976 United States presidential election.

Presidential election

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Jimmy
Carter (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Eugene
McCarthy (I)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris January 5–14, 1976 36% 49% - 15% 13
Harris Late January, 1976 37% 48% - 15% 11
Harris March, 1976 42% 49% - 9% 7
Gallup March 10–13, 1976 47% 42% - - 11% 5
Gallup March 19–22, 1976 48% 46% - - 6% 2
Gallup March 26–29, 1976 47% 46% - 2% 5% 1
Gallup April 9–12, 1976 49% 43% - 2% 6% 6
Harris April 9–15, 1976 47% 43% - 10% 4
Gallup April 30 – May 3, 1976 52% 43% - - 5% 9
Harris June, 1976 53% 40% - - 7% 13
Gallup June 11–14, 1976 55% 37% - 3% 5% 18
Gallup June 25–28, 1976 53% 36% - - 11% 17
July 12–15: Democratic National Convention
Harris July 16–19, 1976 62% 27% 5% - 6% 35
Gallup July 16–19, 1976 62% 29% - - 9% 33
Harris July 31 – August 4, 1976 61% 32% - - 7% 29
Gallup August 6–9, 1976 57% 32% - 3% 8% 25
54% 32% 6% 1% 7% 22
August 16–19: Republican National Convention
Harris August 18–20, 1976 53% 39% 6% - 2% 14
Gallup August 20–23, 1976 50% 37% - - 13% 13
Gallup August 27–30, 1976 54% 36% - 2% 8% 18
Harris September 24–25, 1976 50% 41% - - 9% 9
46% 39% 5% 1% 9% 7
Gallup September 24–27, 1976 51% 40% 4% 1% 4% 11
Gallup September 27 – October 4, 1976 47% 45% 1% 1% 6% 2
Harris October 7–11, 1976 47% 42% - - 11% 5
44% 40% 6% 1% 9% 4
Gallup October 8–11, 1976 48% 42% 2% 2% 6% 6
Gallup October 15–18, 1976 47% 41% 2% 2% 8% 6
Harris October 19–22, 1976 45% 42% 5% 1% 7% 3
Gallup October 22–25, 1976 49% 44% 2% 1% 4% 5
Harris October 23–26, 1976 45% 44% 4% - 7% 1
Gallup October 28–30, 1976 46% 47% 2% 1% 4% 1
Harris October 29–31, 1976 46% 45% 3% 1% 5% 1
Election Results Nov. 2, 1976 50.08% 48.02% 0.91% 0.99% - 2.06

Hypothetical Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Jimmy
Carter (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Eugene
McCarthy (I)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris January 5–14, 1976 33% 50% 17% 17
Harris Late January, 1976 38% 45% 17% 7
Harris March, 1976 42% 49% 9% 7
Harris April 9–15, 1976 53% 34% - 13% 19
Harris June, 1976 58% 35% - 7% 23
Gallup June 11–14, 1976 61% 33% 1% 5% 28
Gallup June 25–28, 1976 64% 28% - 8% 36
Harris July 16–19, 1976 64% 25% 5% - 6% 39
Gallup July 16–19, 1976 63% 28% - 9% 35
Harris July 31 – August 4, 1976 67% 26% - - 7% 41
Gallup August 6–9, 1976 63% 28% 1% 8% 35
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Morris
Udall(D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris April 1–4, 1975 33% 50% 17% 17
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris December, 1973 41% 43% 16% 2
Harris March, 1974 45% 45% 10% 0
Gallup August 12–15, 1974 42% 42% 2% 14% 0
Harris November 1–4, 1974 35% 52% - 13% 17
Gallup November 8–11, 1974 42% 47% 1% 10% 5
Harris January 2–8, 1975 42% 47% - 11% 5
Gallup March 7–10, 1975 41% 43% 3% 13% 2
Harris April 1–4, 1975 44% 44% 12% 0
Gallup May 30 – June 2, 1975 37% 46% 4% 13% 9
Harris September, 1975 43% 47% 10% 4
Gallup October 31 – November 3, 1975 44% 44% - 12% 0
Gallup March 10–13, 1976 39% 49% - 12% 10
Gallup March 19–22, 1976 41% 52% - 7% 11
Gallup April 9–12, 1976 37% 56% 1% 6% 19
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September 23–25, 1973 55% 25% 20% 30
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris January 2–8, 1975 50% 36% 14% 14
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Jerry
Brown (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September, 1975 30% 53% 17% 23
Harris April 9–15, 1976 48% 38% 14% 10
Poll source Date(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris March 3–8, 1974 36% 55% 9% 19
Gallup August 12–15, 1974 37% 51% 4% 8% 14
Harris November 1–4, 1974 30% 61% - 9% 31
Gallup November 8–11, 1974 39% 53% 3% 5% 14
Gallup March 7–10, 1975 39% 49% 4% 8% 10
Harris May, 1975 31% 60% 9% 29
Harris December, 1975 30% 56% 14% 26
Gallup April 9–12, 1976 26% 66% 4% 4% 40
Poll source Date(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris December, 1975 27% 57% 16% 30
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sargent
Shriver (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September, 1975 40% 52% 8% 12
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Lloyd
Bentsen (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris November 1–4, 1974 24% 57% - 19% 33
Harris April 1–4, 1975 38% 47% 15% 9
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Birch
Bayh (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September, 1975 31% 52% 17% 21
Harris January 5–14, 1976 36% 49% 15% 13
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Birch
Bayh (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris January 5–14, 1976 35% 49% 16% 14
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris April 1–4, 1975 45% 47% 8% 2
Gallup August 15–18, 1975 40% 52% 4% 4% 12
Harris September, 1975 42% 48% 10% 8
Gallup October 3–6, 1975 42% 50% 3% 5% 8
Harris November 24 – December 1, 1975 52% 41% 7% 11
Gallup December 5–8, 1975 39% 51% 3% 7% 12
Harris December, 1975 48% 40% - 12% 8
Gallup January 2–5, 1976 46% 48% 2% 4% 2
Harris January 5–14, 1975 49% 45% - 6% 4
Gallup January 23–26, 1976 47% 47% - 6% 0
Harris March, 1976 48% 47% 5% 1
Gallup March 10–13, 1976 43% 48% - 9% 5
Gallup March 19–22, 1976 46% 49% - 5% 3
Gallup March 26–29, 1976 46% 50% 1% 3% 4
Gallup April 9–12, 1976 48% 46% 2% 4% 2
Harris April 9–15, 1976 47% 46% 7% 1
Gallup May 21–24, 1976 46% 45% - 9% 1
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris November 24 – December 1, 1975 50% 43% 7% 7
Gallup December 5–8, 1975 41% 50% 3% 6% 9
Harris December, 1975 48% 41% - 11% 7
Harris January 5–14, 1976 48% 45% - 7% 3
Gallup January 23–26, 1976 47% 45% - 6% 2
Gallup May 21–24, 1976 52% 42% - 6% 10
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Robert
Byrd (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September, 1975 36% 49% 15% 13
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris November, 1973 44% 48% 8% 4
Harris March, 1974 49% 45% 6% 4
Gallup May 10–13, 1974 50% 39% 4% 7% 11
Harris July, 1974 47% 46% 7% 1
Gallup August 16–19, 1974 33% 57% - 10% 24
Harris April 1–4, 1975 50% 43% 7% 7
Harris May 19–23, 1975 46% 48% 6% 2
Gallup May 30 – June 2, 1975 45% 44% 5% 6% 1
Harris June, 1975 43% 50% 7% 7
Gallup August 18–21, 1975 50% 43% 3% 4% 7
Harris September, 1975 46% 48% 6% 2
Gallup October 3–6, 1975 48% 44% 4% 4% 4
Harris December, 1975 49% 41% - 10% 8
Harris January 5–14, 1976 50% 46% - 4% 4
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris June, 1973 50% 44% 6% 6
Gallup October 5–8, 1973 50% 43% 2% 5% 7
Harris March, 1974 51% 43% 6% 8
Harris May, 1974 52% 38% 10% 14
Harris May 19–23, 1975 53% 40% 7% 13
Harris December, 1975 49% 41% - 10% 8
Harris January 5–14, 1976 50% 44% - 6% 6
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Charles
Percy (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris June, 1973 44% 46% 10% 2
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Howard
Baker (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris July 18–22, 1973 44% 45% 11% 1
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris October, 1972 51% 43% 6% 8
Gallup October 1–21, 1972 51% 29% 8% 12% 22
Harris May, 1973 51% 43% 6% 8
Harris June, 1973 50% 42% 8% 8
Harris September 23–25, 1973 57% 31% 12% 26
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
John
Connally (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris June, 1973 49% 45% 6% 4
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris June, 1973 51% 41% 8% 10
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris November 1–4, 1974 42% 49% - 9% 7
Gallup November 8–11, 1974 45% 48% 1% 6% 3
Harris January 2–8, 1975 45% 46% - 9% 1
Gallup March 7–10, 1975 41% 47% 4% 8% 6
Harris April 1–4, 1975 45% 45% - 10% 0
Harris September, 1975 44% 49% 7% 5
Gallup December 5–8, 1975 34% 54% 3% 9% 20
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Ronald
Reagan (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Gallup December 5–8, 1975 34% 56% 2% 8% 22
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Nelson
Rockefeller (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris January 2–8, 1975 50% 38% 12% 12
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Walter
Mondale (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris November 1–4, 1974 31% 53% - 16% 22
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Walter
Mondale (D)
Spiro
Agnew (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris May, 1973 37% 44% 19% 7
Harris September 23–25, 1973 51% 27% 22% 24
Poll source Date(s)
administered
William
Proxmire (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris September, 1975 31% 52% 17% 21
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Scoop
Jackson (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
Other Undecided Margin
Gallup October 31 – November 3, 1975 32% 37% 21% - 10% 5
Poll source Date(s)
administered
George
Wallace (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Fred
Harris (I)
Other Undecided Margin
Gallup December, 1975 27% 39% 23% - 11% 12
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Hubert
Humphrey (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
Other Undecided Margin
Gallup August 15–18, 1975 32% 41% 20% 2% 5% 9
Gallup October 3–6, 1975 33% 39% 24% 2% 5% 6
Gallup January 2–5, 1976 37% 36% 23% 1% 3% 1
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
George
Wallace (A)
Other Undecided Margin
Gallup May 30 – June 2, 1975 39% 34% 19% 2% 6% 5
Gallup August 17–21, 1975 40% 34% 18% 2% 3% 6
Harris November, 1975 37.5% 37.5% 20% - 4% 0
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edward
Kennedy (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Ronald
Reagan (C)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris April, 1975 38% 30% 23% - 9% 8
Harris November, 1975 41% 34% 21% - 4% 7
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Edmund
Muskie (D)
Gerald
Ford (R)
Ronald
Reagan (C)
Other Undecided Margin
Harris April 1–4, 1974 39% 29% 21% - 11% 10

Notes

  1. ^ Running with John Glenn
  2. ^ Running with Nelson Rockefeller
  3. ^ Running with George Wallace

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Democrats Edge Ford, Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
  2. ^ a b "Key Groups Giving Slip To Reagan". Chicago Tribune.
  3. ^ a b c d e f "Two Democrats Ahead Of Ford". The Atlanta Constitution.
  4. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 668.
  5. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 674.
  6. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 678.
  7. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 745.
  8. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 758.
  9. ^ a b "Carter's Well Ahead Of Both GOP Foes". Muncie Evening Press.
  10. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 774.
  11. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 795.
  12. ^ a b "Carter Lead Over Ford Isn't Really That Huge". Asbury Park Press.
  13. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 802.
  14. ^ a b c "Ford, But Not Reagan, Moving Up On Carter". Chicago Tribune.
  15. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 815.
  16. ^ "McCarthy Cuts Into Carter's Lead". Asbury Park Press.
  17. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 851.
  18. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 852.
  19. ^ "Carter Ahead, But Ford Gaining". Lexington Herald-Leader.
  20. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 864.
  21. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 877.
  22. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 878.
  23. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 886.
  24. ^ "Carter's Leading Ford, But..." The Ithaca Journal.
  25. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 894.
  26. ^ "Harris Survey: Carter's Lead Shrinks To 45-44%". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  27. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 900.
  28. ^ "Survey: Carter Clings To One-Point Lead". Iowa City Press-Citizen.
  29. ^ "Carter Favored Over GOP Foes". Democrat and Chronicle.
  30. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 776.
  31. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 795.
  32. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 802.
  33. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 816.
  34. ^ a b c d e "Kennedy Leads For Presidency". The Tribune.
  35. ^ a b "Vice President Ford Pulls Ahead Of Kennedy In Presidential Poll". The Sacramento Bee.
  36. ^ a b "Kennedy Now Leading Ford In A Trial Test For 1976". Muncie Evening Press.
  37. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 294.
  38. ^ a b c d e "Ford Leading All Democrats". Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
  39. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 387.
  40. ^ a b "Ford Ahead Of Jackson And Muskie". Johnson City Press.
  41. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 444.
  42. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 526.
  43. ^ a b c d e f g h i "Ford Tops Potential Opponents In '76 Run". The Minneapolis Star.
  44. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 595.
  45. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 668.
  46. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 674.
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  48. ^ a b c d e "Agnew Slips Badly In Trial Heats". The Bradenton Herald.
  49. ^ a b "Rocky Falls Behind In Test For '76". Chicago Tribune.
  50. ^ "Wallace Trails Far Behind Ford In Match-Up For 1976". Muncie Evening Press.
  51. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 296.
  52. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 389.
  53. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 446.
  54. ^ "Wallace Support For Nomination In 1976 Slips". News-Journal.
  55. ^ a b c "Wallace Support For Nomination In 1976 Slips". The Orlando Sentinel.
  56. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 752.
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  72. ^ "Kennedy Now Leading Ford In A Trial Test For 1976". The Bradenton Herald.
  73. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 351.
  74. ^ a b c "Ford Leads Kennedy, Reagan In Trial Heats". Chicago Tribune.
  75. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 522.
  76. ^ "Ford Lead Over Teddy Grows In '76 Sweep". Chicago Tribune.
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  79. ^ a b c "Rocky, Reagan Trail Kennedy In '76 Test". The Times Record.
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  81. ^ "Percy Edges Kennedy In Head-On Test". Chicago Tribune.
  82. ^ "Kennedy Loses Test To Baker". Chicago Tribune.
  83. ^ a b c "Kennedy Ahead For '76". Johnson City Press.
  84. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 115.
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  86. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 445.
  87. ^ a b "Reagan Is A 'Reality' In 1976". Chicago Tribune.
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  93. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. II. p. 651.
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  95. ^ Gallup, George (1972). The Gallup Poll: Public Opinion, 1972-1977. Vol. I. p. 536.
  96. ^ a b "Reagan Stronger As Independent". Democrat and Chronicle.
  97. ^ "Kennedy-Glenn Ticket Runs First". Imperial Beach Star-News.